ELLER, RON
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MS02203- Internal id
b13b00ac-62c6-4c2c-b8fd-d1661c9f67e8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MS-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 713,085 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $44,511 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $26,505 |
| Income | In poverty | 25.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.499 |
| Race | White alone | 31.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 63.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 2.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 52.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.6% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $117,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $853 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 78.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 15.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $31,985 | $30,939 | $37,776 | $2,500 | $28,923 |
| 2024 | $160,676 | $123,526 | $36,729 | $0 | $32,565 |
| 2022 | $29,132 | $24,290 | $18,397 | $0 | $21,925 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MS-2 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· MS-2 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MS-2 β running
Committees
- RON ELLER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | UNITED FOR LIBERTY PAC | 24K | $100 |
| 2021-12-07 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee RON ELLER FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACOBY, WILLIAM | RAD PARTNERS Β· RADIOLOGIST | PARADISE VALLEY, AZ | 1 | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | UNITED FOR LIBERTY PAC | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-07 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | RON ELLER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |