SMITH, ERICA DANETTE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2NC02238
Internal id: c59d3fc9-1860-4c90-bff6-476f7dd48279
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	747,584
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$56,285
Income	Per-capita income	$31,830
Income	In poverty	17.6%
Income	Unemployed	6.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	48.4%
Race	Black alone	39.1%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.2%
Race	Two or more races	7.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.8%
Education	High school or higher	53.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	20.3%
Education	Advanced degree	6.7%
Household	Family households	64.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	33.5%
Housing	Median home value	$167,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$907
Housing	Single-family detached	65.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	15.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.7%
Health	With a disability	17.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	84.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	13.3%
Commute	Drove alone	79.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	7.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$4,894	$91,970	$0
2024	$0	$17,309	$4,894	$91,970	$0
2022	$960,473	$957,601	$22,203	$92,523	$773,545

Elections

2022 general house · NC-1 — lost_general

Committees

ERICA FOR US — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$50,893	$376,466	10

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-05-11	SUNRISE PAC	support	$454	Phone Banking
2022-05-06	SUNRISE PAC	support	$129	Staff Time
2022-05-05	SUNRISE PAC	support	$471	Staff Time
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	oppose	$20,916	Radio Advertising Buy
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	oppose	$14,100	T.V. Advertising Production
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	oppose	$1,750	Radio Advertising Production
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	oppose	$8,500	Digital Advertising Buy
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	oppose	$331,200	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-05-03	J STREET	support	$44,840	Digital Advertising - Estimate
2022-05-03	J STREET	support	$5,000	Video Production - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$228,856
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$2,497
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$30,233
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$9,653
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$64,172
2022-06-01	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	24K	$20
2022-05-24	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$250
2022-05-23	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$5,750
2022-05-17	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$30,177
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$52
2022-05-17	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$560
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$351
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$206
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$166
2022-05-17	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$70
2022-05-17	ELECT EDUCATORS EVERYWHERE	24K	$360
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$749
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$1,734
2022-05-17	DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA	24Z	$1,668
2022-05-16	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$428
2022-05-13	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$60,140
2022-05-13	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-05-13	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	24K	$600
2022-05-12	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$131,350
2022-05-11	SUNRISE PAC	24E	$453

Connected on the graph

Inbound (87)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$2,497	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$9,653	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$64,172	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$228,856	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$30,233	pas2
2022-06-01	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-05-24	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-05-23	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,750	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$351	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$749	pas2
2022-05-17	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$30,177	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$52	pas2
2022-05-17	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$70	pas2
2022-05-17	ELECT EDUCATORS EVERYWHERE	contributed_to	$360	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$1,734	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$206	pas2
2022-05-17	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$560	pas2
2022-05-17	DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$1,668	pas2
2022-05-17	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$166	pas2
2022-05-16	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$428	pas2
2022-05-13	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$60,140	pas2
2022-05-13	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	contributed_to	$600	pas2
2022-05-13	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-05-12	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$131,350	pas2
2022-05-11	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$68,400	pas2
2022-05-11	SUNRISE PAC	supports_independently	$454	fec_ies
2022-05-11	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-11	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$453	pas2
2022-05-10	DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$291	pas2
2022-05-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$20,857	pas2
2022-05-08	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$464	pas2
2022-05-06	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-06	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-05-06	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$269,934	pas2
2022-05-06	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$128	pas2
2022-05-06	SUNRISE PAC	supports_independently	$129	fec_ies
2022-05-05	SUNRISE PAC	supports_independently	$471	fec_ies
2022-05-05	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$51,034	pas2
2022-05-05	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$17,500	pas2
2022-05-05	MEDICARE FOR ALL	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-05	REPAIR THE WORLD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-05	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$470	pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$8,500	fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$1,750	fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$8,500	pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$14,100	pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$20,916	pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$14,100	fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$20,916	fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$331,200	fec_ies
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$1,750	pas2
2022-05-04	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$331,200	pas2
2022-05-03	J STREET ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-03	J STREET ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2022-05-03	J STREET ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$44,840	pas2
2022-05-03	J STREET ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$44,840	fec_ies
2022-05-02	THE COLLECTIVE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-02	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-27	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-27	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$43	pas2
2022-04-27	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$400	pas2
2022-04-21	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$70	pas2
2022-04-20	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$13	pas2
2022-04-15	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$421	pas2
2022-04-07	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$125	pas2
2022-04-07	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$90	pas2
2022-04-05	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-04-01	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-03-31	AMERICAN MOSAIC PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-31	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-03-31	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-28	TRUTH TO POWER	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-25	SIX PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-24	ELECT BLACK WOMEN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-23	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$125	pas2
2022-03-21	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$203	pas2
2022-03-18	WAY TO LEAD PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-03-18	WAY TO LEAD PAC	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2022-03-17	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$239	pas2
2022-03-12	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$88	pas2
2022-03-11	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$52	pas2
2022-03-10	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$27	pas2
2022-03-09	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-03-01	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-02-28	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-01-31	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-01-03	NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$20	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ERICA FOR US	—		candidate_committees

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