DAUGHTRY, KELLY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NC04200- Internal id
fc25428d-2965-415c-8b62-e706fd1c8792- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,542 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,810 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,879 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 64.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 18.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $305,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,098 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $3,575,112 | $3,575,112 | $0 | $0 | $286,271 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NC-13 β lost_general
Committees
- KELLY DAUGHTRY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $31,673 | $884,451 | 27 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $211 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH PAC | support | $15,837 | Mail Production, Printing, & Postage |
| 2022-05-09 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $211 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $451 | digital ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $35,000 | Digital ad placement |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $61 | Text/Phone messaging (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $315 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $3,787 | digital ad production |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $211 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $9,612 | TV ad production (added to previously reported placement) |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH PAC | support | $15,837 | Mail Production, Printing, & Postage |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $9,216 | Text/Phone messaging |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $37 | tv ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $37 | radio ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $14,940 | Mail production, postage |
| 2022-05-02 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $211 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $179 | radio ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $126,043 | TV ad placement, originally reported 4/20/22, change in can⦠|
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $323 | tv ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $11,913 | Radio ad placement, originally reported 4/20/22, change in β¦ |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $33,356 | Radio ad placement |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $578,880 | TV ad placement |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $3,855 | Radio ad production |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $10,780 | TV ad production |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $14,940 | Mail production, postage |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (61)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-19 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-17 | AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $211 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $211 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-09 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $211 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH ACTION | supports_independently | $15,837 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-09 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $211 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH ACTION | contributed_to | $15,836 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $451 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $451 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $3,787 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $315 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $61 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $35,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $3,787 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $35,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $314 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $60 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $211 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH ACTION | contributed_to | $15,836 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH ACTION | supports_independently | $15,837 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $211 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $9,612 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $9,612 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $37 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $9,215 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $9,216 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $37 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $37 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $37 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $14,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $14,940 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-03 | WINNING FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $211 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-02 | WARD AND SMITH. P.A. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $211 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $179 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $323 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $11,912 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $126,042 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $578,880 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $33,356 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $578,880 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $126,043 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $179 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $323 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $11,913 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $33,356 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $3,855 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $3,855 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $10,780 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $10,780 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $14,940 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $14,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $14,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $14,940 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $14,940 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $14,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-18 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-17 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KELLY DAUGHTRY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |