HINES, ROBERT NICHOLAS
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NC05157- Internal id
51de70cd-83c9-49fa-ace7-fe3e3cfa11c3- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 769,663 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,629 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,171 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 62.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 85.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 65.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,101 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $55,533 | $55,948 | $0 | $2,160,964 | $261 |
| 2024 | $1,476,516 | $1,480,495 | $415 | $2,229,465 | $508,317 |
| 2022 | $3,286,175 | $3,281,781 | $4,394 | $1,352,434 | $1,828,575 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NC-13 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· NC-6 β running
- 2024 general house Β· NC-6 β lost_general
Committees
- BO HINES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $34,732 | $919,172 | 15 |
| 2022 | $3,400,849 | $5,215,787 | 193 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $36,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $434,775 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $434,775 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $627,125 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $36,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $19,654 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,295 | IE- HINES- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| β | HMP | oppose | $70,950 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $797 | IE- HINES- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| β | HMP | oppose | $56,225 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $20,315 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $11,836 | IE- HINES- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION |
| β | HMP | oppose | $70,950 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $11,699 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,218 | IE- HINES- TEXT MARKETING |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $21,551 | IE- HINES- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $797 | IE- Hines- Digital Marketing |
| β | HMP | oppose | $9,800 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,219 | IE- HINES- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $1,429 | IE- HINES- EMAIL MARKETING |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $2,300 | IE- HINES- EMAIL MARKETING |
| β | HMP | oppose | $12,469 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $941 | IE- HINES- EMAIL MARKETING |
| β | HMP | oppose | $700,607 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | OLD NORTH PAC | oppose | $434,275 | Media Placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | 24A | $36,000 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $434,775 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-75 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-80 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-40 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-75 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-75 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-75 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $36,000 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $434,775 | pas2 | |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $1,731 | fec_ies | |
| β | PRIORITIES USA ACTION | opposes_independently | $10,042 | fec_ies | |
| β | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $434,275 | fec_ies | |
| β | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $14,618 | fec_ies | |
| β | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $25,075 | fec_ies | |
| β | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $3,207 | fec_ies | |
| β | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $14,205 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $56,225 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $19,654 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $627,125 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $434,775 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $36,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $36,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $20,315 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $434,775 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $11,699 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $70,950 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,469 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $70,950 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $700,607 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $797 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,295 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $797 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,429 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $2,300 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $941 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $11,836 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $21,551 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,219 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,218 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $2,935 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $2,935 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $2,935 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $2,935 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $2,726 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | AMERICA FIRST NORTH CAROLINA | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $24,343 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $24,343 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $24,343 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-22 | AMERICA FIRST NORTH CAROLINA | supports_independently | $2,188 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-22 | AMERICA FIRST NORTH CAROLINA | supports_independently | $2,545 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $375,367 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-20 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $55,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-16 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $374,373 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | AWAKE CAROLINA | opposes_independently | $26,937 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-80 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-80 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BO HINES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |