BEACH-FERRARA, JASMINE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2NC11155
Internal id: 863ee5f4-f585-49c2-8914-5bad60bde0a8
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-11. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	758,211
People	Median age	45
Income	Median household income	$65,577
Income	Per-capita income	$39,018
Income	In poverty	12.6%
Income	Unemployed	4.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.471
Race	White alone	84.3%
Race	Black alone	3.2%
Race	Asian alone	0.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.1%
Race	Two or more races	7.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.7%
Education	High school or higher	62.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.7%
Education	Advanced degree	14.0%
Household	Family households	63.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	29.1%
Housing	Median home value	$310,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,107
Housing	Single-family detached	69.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	24.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.6%
Health	With a disability	15.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	86.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.5%
Commute	Drove alone	75.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	12.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$1,000	$3,840	$0	$0	$0
2022	$2,329,162	$2,326,322	$2,840	$3,000	$2,232,190

Elections

2022 general house · NC-11 — lost_general

Committees

JASMINE BEACH-FERRARA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$57
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$44
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$53
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$32
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$911
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$32
2022-11-06	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$59
2022-11-03	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24Z	$41
2022-10-20	DEMOCRACY DEFENSE FUND	24K	$5,000
2022-09-15	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	24K	$250
2022-06-30	L PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-06	AMERICAN IDEAL PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-05-19	PRICE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-05-13	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	24K	$400
2022-04-15	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	24E	$10
2022-03-31	LA BAMBA PAC	24K	$-5,800
2022-03-31	VOTE MAMA	24K	$139
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION PAC	24K	$1,900
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-03-31	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	24K	$3,000
2022-03-30	LA BAMBA PAC	24K	$5,800
2022-03-28	SMART TD PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$2,900

Connected on the graph

Inbound (87)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$57		pas2
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$57	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$44	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$53		pas2
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$53	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$44		pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$911		pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$32	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$911	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$32		pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$32		pas2
2022-11-07	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$32	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-06	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$59	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-06	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$59		pas2
2022-11-03	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$41	24Z	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$41		pas2
2022-10-20	DEMOCRACY DEFENSE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-10-20	DEMOCRACY DEFENSE FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-15	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	contributed_to	$250		pas2
2022-09-15	SQUARE ONE POLITICS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$250	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-30	L PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-06-30	L PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-06	AMERICAN IDEAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-06-06	AMERICAN IDEAL PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-19	PRICE FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-19	PRICE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-05-13	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$400	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-13	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	contributed_to	$400		pas2
2022-04-15	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$10	24E	fec_pas2
2022-04-15	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	contributed_to	$10		pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$1,900		pas2
2022-03-31	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-31	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$-5,800		pas2
2022-03-31	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$139		pas2
2022-03-31	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-03-31	VOTE MAMA	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$139	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-31	MORE PERFECT UNION	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-03-30	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$5,800		pas2
2022-03-30	LA BAMBA PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,800	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-28	SMART TD PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2022-03-28	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2022-03-28	SMART TD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-03-25	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-25	HER BOLD MOVE ACTION	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-03-16	L PAC	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-03-16	L PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-02-13	MORE BLUE	contributed_to	$100		pas2
2022-02-13	MORE BLUE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$100	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2021-12-30	LA BAMBA PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-30	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2021-12-30	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2021-12-22	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2021-12-22	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-21	LA BAMBA PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,900	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-21	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,900		pas2
2021-12-21	HONOR BOUND PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-12-21	HONOR BOUND PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-07	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-07	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2021-09-27	L PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2021-09-27	L PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2021-07-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-06-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-06-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-30	VOTE MAMA	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-30	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-03-19	WHEN DEMOCRATS TURN OUT PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-03-19	WHEN DEMOCRATS TURN OUT PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-19	WHEN DEMOCRATS TURN OUT PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-19	WHEN DEMOCRATS TURN OUT PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JASMINE BEACH-FERRARA FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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