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GEELS, COURTNEY JOELE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NC13185
Internal id
13b45322-824c-4c82-a6ed-4fc2033fc466
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation769,729
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$102,949
IncomePer-capita income$54,877
IncomeIn poverty9.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.460
RaceWhite alone54.6%
RaceBlack alone19.2%
RaceAsian alone11.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.6%
RaceTwo or more races9.2%
OriginForeign-born16.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.0%
EducationHigh school or higher74.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher61.4%
EducationAdvanced degree29.9%
HouseholdFamily households63.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.45
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.2%
HousingMedian home value$463,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,595
HousingSingle-family detached60.9%
HousingBuilt before 19402.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.1%
HousingVacant units6.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability9.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.3%
CommuteDrove alone59.4%
CommutePublic transit1.6%
CommuteWorked from home28.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$55$35$20$0$0
2022$409,981$409,981$0$0$272,432

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$36,000$01

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-10-17AMERICANS FOR TRANSPARENCYsupport$36,000DIRECT MAIL

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-25
2022-11-20WINRED24K$-100
2022-11-02NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$26,343
2022-10-20AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE, COUNTY AND MUNICI…24F$10,045
2022-10-17AMERICANS FOR TRANSPARENCY24E$36,000
2022-10-15WINRED24K$-50
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$2,141
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$1,586
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$933
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$1,077
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$754
2022-10-05NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$933
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$1,077
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$2,141
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$754
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTY24C$1,586
2022-09-01WINRED24K$-200
2022-08-05NORTH CAROLINA SOYBEAN PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION NC…24K$1,000
2022-07-14WINRED24K$-100
2022-06-27MAGGIE'S LIST24K$100
2022-06-13POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN ASSO…24K$1,500
2022-06-07MAGGIE'S LIST24K$1,000
2022-04-21WINRED24K$-100
2022-01-20WINRED24K$-500
2022-01-13WINRED24K$-50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (26)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-20WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-02NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$26,343pas2
2022-10-20AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE, COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES, AFL-CIOcontributed_to$10,045pas2
2022-10-17AMERICANS FOR TRANSPARENCYcontributed_to$36,000pas2
2022-10-17AMERICANS FOR TRANSPARENCYsupports_independently$36,000fec_ies
2022-10-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$754pas2
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$2,141pas2
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$1,077pas2
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$933pas2
2022-10-14NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$1,586pas2
2022-10-05NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$933pas2
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$2,141pas2
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$754pas2
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$1,586pas2
2022-09-20NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$1,077pas2
2022-09-01WINREDcontributed_to$-200pas2
2022-08-05NORTH CAROLINA SOYBEAN PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION NC SOYPACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-07-14WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-06-27MAGGIE'S LISTcontributed_to$100pas2
2022-06-13POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF ORTHOPAEDIC SURGEONS--PAC OF AAOScontributed_to$1,500pas2
2022-06-07MAGGIE'S LISTcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-04-21WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-01-20WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-01-13WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCOURTNEY GEELS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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