VARELA, BRIAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NJ08265- Internal id
4599602e-9fc5-40a8-b8df-d1bfa0924258- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,203 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $136,541 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $71,321 |
| Income | In poverty | 4.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 71.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 75.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 23.0% |
| Household | Family households | 71.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.59 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $530,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,802 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,861,553 | $528,715 | $1,332,839 | $1,150,000 | $705,297 |
| 2022 | $632,657 | $631,298 | $1,359 | $0 | $36,545 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NJ-7 β running
- 2022 general house Β· NJ-8 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· NJ-7 β running
Committees
- VARELA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- VARELA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2026-02-17 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | 24K | $250 |
| 2025-12-23 | LATINO VICTORY FUND | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-29 | FORWARD PARTY | 24K | $1,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee VARELA FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JASINOWSKI, ISABEL | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| NORWOOD, TIM | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | JOHNS ISLAND, SC | 1 | $1,000 |
| W SENFT, WILLIAM | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· ATTORNEY | BALTIMORE, MD | 1 | $500 |
| MARIN, RICHARD | NEW YORK WHEEL Β· EXECUTIVE | STATEN ISLAND, NY | 2 | $500 |
| TOULMIN, LLEWELLYN | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | SILVER SPRING, MD | 1 | $250 |
| CUCALON, JENNIFER | HCA Β· PHYSICIAN | HIGHLANDS, NJ | 1 | $200 |
| WHITE, CRAIG | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | RENO, NV | 1 | $50 |
| ANDERSEN, CRAIG | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | BUDD LAKE, NJ | 1 | $25 |
| HOLT, JOHN | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | LONG VALLEY, NJ | 1 | $10 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | LATINO VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-29 | FORWARD PARTY | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VARELA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | VARELA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |