MAYER, CARL J
G Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NJ12044- Internal id
72409113-d424-494a-ac35-fefb00fb3f1b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,950 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $113,235 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,867 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 40.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 20.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 70.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.8% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $470,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,812 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 60.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $997,055 | $0 |
| 2002 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $997,055 | $0 |
| 2000 | $259,257 | $259,519 | $0 | $997,055 | $8,370 |
| 1998 | $1,082,083 | $1,085,811 | $262 | $800,089 | $91,037 |
| 1996 | $386,361 | $382,371 | $3,990 | $219,400 | $21,037 |
| 1994 | $0 | $4,014 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $109,199 | $105,182 | $4,014 | $90,625 | $18,699 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· NJ-12 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· NJ-12 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· NJ-6 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· NJ-12 β lost_general
Committees
- MAYER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MAYER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |