MAYFIELD, DARIUS

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2NJ12127
Internal id: a658ce79-9363-40e0-92a2-9ed3b96e9e64
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-12. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	778,950
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$113,235
Income	Per-capita income	$56,867
Income	In poverty	9.0%
Income	Unemployed	6.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.469
Race	White alone	40.9%
Race	Black alone	15.7%
Race	Asian alone	20.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	22.8%
Race	Two or more races	9.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	32.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	58.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	18.2%
Education	High school or higher	70.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	48.8%
Education	Advanced degree	22.8%
Household	Family households	69.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.68
Household	Never married (15+)	34.2%
Housing	Median home value	$470,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,812
Housing	Single-family detached	51.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.7%
Housing	Vacant units	3.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.2%
Health	With a disability	9.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.2%
Commute	Drove alone	60.6%
Commute	Public transit	5.2%
Commute	Worked from home	20.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$301	$432	$0	$0	$0
2024	$71,530	$77,596	$131	$4,650	$54,934
2022	$266,329	$260,132	$6,197	$0	$264,840

Elections

2022 general house · NJ-12 — running
2024 general house · NJ-12 — running
2026 general house · NJ-12 — running

Committees

DARIUS MAYFIELD FOR AMERICA — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-21	RIGHT HOOK PAC	24K	$300
2022-10-04	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$758
2022-09-26	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-08-26	BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-07-30	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-07-29	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-07-23	WINRED	24K	$-10
2021-12-14	WINRED	24K	$-500
2021-09-03	WINRED	24K	$-250
2021-05-25	WINRED	24K	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (10)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-21	RIGHT HOOK PAC	contributed_to	$300	pas2
2022-10-04	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$758	pas2
2022-09-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-08-26	BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-07-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-07-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2021-12-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2021-09-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2021-05-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$250	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DARIUS MAYFIELD FOR AMERICA	—		candidate_committees

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