PEARCE, STEVAN E.
R Β· house Β· bioguide P000588
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- FEC candidate id
H2NM02126- Internal id
75892ce5-fd72-4f14-980f-9f8658ffb3b0- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 707,320 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $57,932 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,867 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 41.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 60.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 32.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 33.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.1% |
| Household | Family households | 64.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $206,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $970 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $134,888 | $1,407,177 | $0 | $0 | $60 |
| 2016 | $1,860,536 | $975,999 | $1,272,289 | $0 | $1,365,181 |
| 2014 | $2,070,663 | $2,282,213 | $387,752 | $0 | $1,561,980 |
| 2012 | $1,687,075 | $1,121,521 | $598,927 | $0 | $1,218,628 |
| 2010 | $2,451,279 | $2,417,905 | $33,374 | $0 | $1,958,483 |
| 2008 | $658,417 | $791,127 | $0 | $0 | $420,149 |
| 2006 | $1,470,876 | $1,349,398 | $132,710 | $0 | $831,755 |
| 2004 | $1,980,839 | $1,997,553 | $11,232 | $50,000 | $1,033,400 |
| 2002 | $1,601,860 | $1,573,914 | $27,946 | $205,000 | $807,664 |
Elections
- 2002 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2012 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NM-2 β won
- 2018 general house Β· NM-2 β lost_general
Committees
- PEARCE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- PEOPLE FOR PEARCE β principal Β· type H
- TEAM 2012 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- YOUNG GUNS JOINT FUNDRAISING COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM 2012 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS JOINT FUNDRAISING COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PEOPLE FOR PEARCE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PEARCE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |