ROBERTSON, MARK
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2NV03153- Internal id
ddaf72e7-3c5c-4495-ba50-1fb51c82f403- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,368 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,532 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,325 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 44.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 37.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 26.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.1% |
| Household | Family households | 62.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,463 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $9,696 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $401,644 | $560,978 | $9,696 | $0 | $279,320 |
| 2022 | $1,337,673 | $1,168,643 | $169,031 | $8,050 | $809,969 |
Elections
Committees
- ROBERTSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- ROBERTSON FOR NV-01 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $2 | 1 |
| 2022 | $632,442 | $6,847,044 | 266 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | oppose | $2 | Email (Estimate) |
| β | HMP | oppose | $10,840 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $14,051 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $70,778 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $1,025,840 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $21,960 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $26,138 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $25,277 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $70,778 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $1,338,561 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $10,547 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $16,681 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $70,778 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $731,680 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $4,150 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $27,697 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $27,729 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $20,222 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $26,201 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $26,169 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $20,222 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $40,043 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,333 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $857,531 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,333 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | 24A | $70,778 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $731,680 |
| 2025-07-23 | EXPECT MORE LEADERSHIP PAC | 24K | $-2,000 |
| 2025-06-30 | MDU RESOURCES GROUP GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | 24K | $-2,500 |
| 2022-12-30 | FREEDOM 21: FIGHTING FOR FREEDOM IN THE 21ST CE⦠| 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-19 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-12-13 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-28 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-11-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-11-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROBERTSON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROBERTSON FOR NV-01 | β | candidate_committees |