SERRANO, CAROLINA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NV04094- Internal id
14354fdc-b3a7-44e3-9795-e3cb74a1a8b8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,368 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,532 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,325 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 44.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 37.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 26.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.1% |
| Household | Family households | 62.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,463 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $654,871 | $626,289 | $28,582 | $35,962 | $643,708 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NV-1 β lost_general
Committees
- AMERICAN RENAISSANCE PAC β principal Β· type N
- AMERICAN RENAISSANCE PAC β independent Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-6 |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-11-18 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-11-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-11-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-10-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee AMERICAN RENAISSANCE PAC.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIZZO, MARYLOU | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | MARSHFIELD, MA | 1 | $50 |
| BEDIENT, MICHAEL | THE NAVIGATORS Β· MINISTRY | CHANDLER, AZ | 1 | $25 |
| CYRUS, DEBRA | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | CATLETTSBURG, KY | 1 | $25 |
| DEY, WAYNE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | OXNARD, CA | 1 | $25 |
| BASLER, PHYLLIS | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | FESTUS, MO | 1 | $25 |
| FERGUSON, ERIC | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | LA GRANGE, CA | 1 | $25 |
| LEWIS, DIATRA | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | PARSONSBURG, MD | 1 | $25 |
| DICK, JONNA L | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SEWARDSEWARD, AK | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-6 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | AMERICAN RENAISSANCE PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | AMERICAN RENAISSANCE PAC | β | candidate_committees |