VARGAS, JESSIE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NV04102- Internal id
c4d62624-dab5-4864-a7db-eef4ca52eb63- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 813,654 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,580 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,786 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 42.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 35.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 25.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 52.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.2% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.84 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $393,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,570 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $104,130 | $104,130 | $0 | $0 | $82,421 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NV-4 β lost_general
Committees
- JESSIE VARGAS FOR CONGRESS INC. β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-18 | MASON CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITI⦠| 24K | $1,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-18 | MASON CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITEE-MACPAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-01-18 | MASON CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITEE-MACPAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JESSIE VARGAS FOR CONGRESS INC. | β | candidate_committees |