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BOND, MICHELLE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NY01257
Internal id
3c314e8d-4fde-4b17-999a-1558c5822494
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,092
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$134,242
IncomePer-capita income$63,494
IncomeIn poverty6.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.457
RaceWhite alone74.1%
RaceBlack alone4.6%
RaceAsian alone5.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.3%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born13.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home81.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.6%
EducationHigh school or higher69.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher46.5%
EducationAdvanced degree22.2%
HouseholdFamily households71.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.75
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$628,600
HousingMedian gross rent$2,309
HousingSingle-family detached82.0%
HousingBuilt before 19403.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units15.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.4%
HealthWith a disability10.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.2%
CommuteDrove alone71.5%
CommutePublic transit4.6%
CommuteWorked from home14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$105$66$877,231$0
2024$120$9,007$171$877,231$0
2022$1,544,593$1,535,535$9,058$883,440$472,153

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$1,311,037$017

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$5,592IE-Bond-Media Production
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupport$13,569MESSAGE PHONE CALLS & TEXTING
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupport$2,241TEXTING SERVICES
2022-08-18STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupport$5,129MESSAGE PHONE CALLS & TEXTING
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$6,630IE-Bond-Media Production
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$4,045IE-Bond-Voter Calls
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$602,000IE-Bond-Media Buy
2022-08-15STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupport$3,008TEXTING SERVICES
2022-08-15CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$263,000IE-Bond-Media Buy
2022-08-12CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$250,000IE-Bond-Media Buy
2022-08-08CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$22,519IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-08-01CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$18,436IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-07-28CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$22,519IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-07-26CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$18,433IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-07-22CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$18,933IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$39,952IE-Bond-Direct Mail
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupport$15,032IE-Bond-Text Message Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-22COMMON SENSE COMMON SOLUTIONS POLITICAL ACTION …24K$-2,500
2022-09-22VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…24K$-5,000
2022-09-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEE24K$-2,100
2022-09-05COMMON SENSE COMMON SOLUTIONS POLITICAL ACTION …24K$2,500
2022-08-23STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE24E$1,244
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE24E$13,568
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE24E$2,241
2022-08-18STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE24E$5,128
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$4,045
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$602,000
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$6,629
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$5,592
2022-08-15STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE24E$3,007
2022-08-15UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC)24K$2,500
2022-08-15CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$263,000
2022-08-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEE24K$2,100
2022-08-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEE24K$2,900
2022-08-12CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$250,000
2022-08-10AMERICANS FOR LEGISLATING EXCELLENCE PAC24K$1,000
2022-08-08CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$22,518
2022-08-01WINNING FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC24K$5,000
2022-08-01CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$18,435
2022-07-28CRYPTO INNOVATION24E$22,518
2022-07-27STEER PAC24K$5,000
2022-07-26CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY FUND24K$1,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (53)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$5,592fec_ies
2022-12-22COMMON SENSE COMMON SOLUTIONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-09-22VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-09-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-2,100pas2
2022-09-05COMMON SENSE COMMON SOLUTIONS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-08-23STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,244pas2
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEcontributed_to$13,568pas2
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupports_independently$13,569fec_ies
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupports_independently$2,241fec_ies
2022-08-22STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,241pas2
2022-08-18STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,128pas2
2022-08-18STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupports_independently$5,129fec_ies
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$6,629pas2
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$4,045pas2
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$5,592pas2
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$6,630fec_ies
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$4,045fec_ies
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$602,000pas2
2022-08-17CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$602,000fec_ies
2022-08-15STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEcontributed_to$3,007pas2
2022-08-15CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$263,000fec_ies
2022-08-15CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$263,000pas2
2022-08-15STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEEsupports_independently$3,008fec_ies
2022-08-15UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-08-12CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$250,000pas2
2022-08-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-08-12CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$250,000fec_ies
2022-08-12AMERICAN UNITY FUND INC FEDERAL COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,100pas2
2022-08-10AMERICANS FOR LEGISLATING EXCELLENCE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-08-08CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$22,518pas2
2022-08-08CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$22,519fec_ies
2022-08-01CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$18,435pas2
2022-08-01CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$18,436fec_ies
2022-08-01WINNING FOR WOMEN, INC. PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-28CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$22,518pas2
2022-07-28CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$22,519fec_ies
2022-07-27STEER PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-26CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$18,433fec_ies
2022-07-26CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY FUNDcontributed_to$1,500pas2
2022-07-26CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$18,433pas2
2022-07-24GADS PACcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-07-24GADS PACcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-07-22CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$18,933fec_ies
2022-07-22CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$18,933pas2
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$15,031pas2
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$39,952fec_ies
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONsupports_independently$15,032fec_ies
2022-07-19CRYPTO INNOVATIONcontributed_to$39,951pas2
2022-07-16ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC.contributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-07-11VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-11VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-28HELP ELECT REPUBLICANS NOWcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-20WINREDcontributed_to$-5,800pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMICHELLE BOND FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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