BINDER, ALLAN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY03071- Internal id
d1baf544-c9d4-4356-8b7e-5543cee90353- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,282 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $128,330 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,160 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.412 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 29.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 74.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.14 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $529,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,204 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $225 | $66 | $20,747 | $0 |
| 2002 | $0 | $931 | $291 | $20,747 | $0 |
| 2000 | $0 | $378 | $1,223 | $20,747 | $0 |
| 1998 | $5,300 | $4,225 | $1,897 | $20,947 | $0 |
| 1996 | $12,050 | $11,484 | $823 | $26,072 | $2,800 |
| 1994 | $129,577 | $132,062 | $260 | $60,316 | $122,378 |
| 1992 | $125,965 | $123,206 | $2,749 | $40,300 | $80,245 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· NY-5 β lost_general
- 1994 general house Β· NY-5 β lost_general
- 2002 general house Β· NY-2 β lost_general
Committees
- ALLAN BINDER FOR CONGRESS '94 β principal Β· type H
- FRIENDS OF ALLAN BINDER β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ALLAN BINDER FOR CONGRESS '94 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF ALLAN BINDER | β | candidate_committees |