KING, PAUL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY05126- Internal id
1c885c1e-f863-446d-bf45-088e27b42ff3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,687 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,577 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,943 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 15.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 40.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 14.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 43.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 63.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.0% |
| Household | Family households | 72.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.02 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $671,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,768 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 33.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 12.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 40.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 36.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $48,325 | $46,251 | $6,488 | $0 | $47,894 |
| 2022 | $130,038 | $125,624 | $4,414 | $4,772 | $128,588 |
Elections
Committees
- KING 2024 CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- PAUL KING FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-02 | PETE KING FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-02 | PETE KING FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KING 2024 CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PAUL KING FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |