ZUMBLUSKAS, MICHAEL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY12221- Internal id
c5517d69-9c7a-4681-9fcc-6f5518a113f6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 719,940 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $147,775 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $133,258 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.555 |
| Race | White alone | 67.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 13.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 72.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 86.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 80.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 42.1% |
| Household | Family households | 37.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 1.81 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,184,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,960 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 1.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 19.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 4.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 37.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 29.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $19,177 | $16,056 | $-3,035 | $0 | $11,402 |
Elections
Committees
- ZUMBLUSKAS 2024 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-125 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ZUMBLUSKAS 2024 | β | candidate_committees |