CUELLAR, DESI
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY14094- Internal id
a97c8d1d-fa8e-4e28-81af-48dc63439831- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 718,731 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,549 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,270 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 9.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.495 |
| Race | White alone | 23.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 52.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 39.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 37.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 45.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $660,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,753 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 7.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 12.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 11.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 24.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 49.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $50 | $1,413 | $0 | $26,370 | $50 |
| 2022 | $272,968 | $271,605 | $1,363 | $26,370 | $244,433 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-14 β lost_general
Committees
- CUELLAR FOR NEW YORK β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-56 |
| 2022-10-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-09-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-4 |
| 2022-09-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-09-12 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | 24E | $25 |
| 2022-09-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-09-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-09-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-08-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-08-18 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-08-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-08-07 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | 24E | $100 |
| 2022-08-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-07-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-05 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | 24E | $83 |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-56 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-07 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-05 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | contributed_to | $83 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-17 | CONCERNED CITIZEN | contributed_to | $129 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-11 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CUELLAR FOR NEW YORK | β | candidate_committees |