MCHUGH, JOHN M
R Β· house Β· bioguide M000472
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY24036- Internal id
5ebe909c-30c3-46f0-91c0-073e296ac80b- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-23. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,072 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,834 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,154 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 90.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $185,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $929 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $126 | $24,158 | $71,903 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $91 | $11,746 | $95,935 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $109 | $-77 | $107,590 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $104 | $678 | $107,404 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $106,562 | $139,261 | $107,979 | $0 | $28,092 |
| 2008 | $708,608 | $645,799 | $140,678 | $0 | $183,772 |
| 2006 | $561,843 | $744,421 | $77,869 | $0 | $138,830 |
| 2004 | $498,035 | $471,794 | $260,447 | $0 | $147,444 |
| 2002 | $314,636 | $289,094 | $234,207 | $0 | $87,252 |
| 2000 | $275,615 | $300,643 | $208,665 | $0 | $87,335 |
| 1998 | $284,744 | $293,655 | $233,694 | $0 | $92,958 |
| 1996 | $350,165 | $172,883 | $242,605 | $0 | $155,487 |
| 1994 | $116,998 | $53,187 | $65,325 | $8,000 | $23,644 |
| 1992 | $177,933 | $171,649 | $6,282 | $0 | $50,210 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· NY-23 β running
- 1992 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NY-23 β running
- 1996 general house Β· NY-23 β running
- 1996 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-23 β running
- 2000 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NY-23 β lost_general
Committees
- AMERICAN VICTORY COMMITTEE β principal Β· type Q
- AMERICAN VICTORY COMMITTEE β independent Β· type Q
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | AMERICAN VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | AMERICAN VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |