SINGLETARY, LA'RON DESMOND

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2NY25082
Internal id: f591ab90-edcf-4700-9e3f-0878430675ec
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-25. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	771,484
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$76,853
Income	Per-capita income	$44,534
Income	In poverty	13.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.466
Race	White alone	70.1%
Race	Black alone	13.9%
Race	Asian alone	3.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	9.8%
Race	Two or more races	8.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.7%
Education	High school or higher	64.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	41.8%
Education	Advanced degree	18.8%
Household	Family households	58.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.28
Household	Never married (15+)	38.3%
Housing	Median home value	$215,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,175
Housing	Single-family detached	62.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.4%
Housing	Vacant units	6.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.0%
Health	With a disability	14.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.9%
Commute	Drove alone	70.9%
Commute	Public transit	1.8%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$89	$107,934	$0
2024	$0	$180	$89	$107,934	$0
2022	$710,075	$709,807	$269	$107,934	$502,637

Elections

2022 general house · NY-25 — lost_general

Committees

SINGLETARY 4 CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$247,538	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$9,663	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$237,875	Television Advertising - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-12-02	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-11-07	CLF	24E	$17,500
2022-11-07	CLF	24K	$5,000
2022-11-04	CLF	24E	$6,500
2022-11-04	CLF	24E	$7,500
2022-11-03	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	24E	$900
2022-11-03	ELECTING REPUBLICANS INDIANA PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,500
2022-11-02	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	24K	$4,000
2022-11-02	HMP	24A	$9,662
2022-11-02	REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	24K	$2,000
2022-11-02	NO EASY DAY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	AMERICAN GRIT PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	ROUGHRIDER PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	MVL PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	NO NONSENSE PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-11-02	NEW YORK RENEWAL PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-01	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$3,000
2022-11-01	JAM PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$237,875
2022-10-31	GADS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	WINRED	24K	$-1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (49)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$237,875	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,663	fec_ies
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-07	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-07	CLF	contributed_to	$17,500	pas2
2022-11-04	CLF	contributed_to	$6,500	pas2
2022-11-04	CLF	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-11-03	ELECTING REPUBLICANS INDIANA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-03	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-11-02	NO NONSENSE PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-02	NO EASY DAY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-02	AMERICAN GRIT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-11-02	REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	ROUGHRIDER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	MVL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	HMP	contributed_to	$9,662	pas2
2022-11-02	NEW YORK RENEWAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-11-01	JAM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$237,875	pas2
2022-10-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	GADS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NRCC	contributed_to	$100,000	pas2
2022-10-26	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-24	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-24	KEVIN MCCARTHY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-21	ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-20	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	POINT PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-20	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3,500	pas2
2022-09-28	BYRON DONALDS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-27	LANGWORTHY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-23	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-23	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-15	TEXANS FOR MORGAN LUTTRELL	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-08	ELISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-25	ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-30	NY REPUBLICAN FEDERAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SINGLETARY 4 CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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