SWARTZ, CRAIG STEPHEN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH05062- Internal id
6e1ebfaa-fdb9-47a1-8c49-bd535c5fdfec- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,570 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,027 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,911 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 85.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $190,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $897 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $55 | $344 | $0 | $0 | $55 |
| 2022 | $54,981 | $54,692 | $289 | $0 | $44,871 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· OH-5 β lost_general
Committees
- SWARTZ FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | 24E | $66 |
| 2022-10-20 | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | 24E | $66 |
| 2022-10-07 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-09-26 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-07-22 | AMERICA WORKS FEDERAL PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-05-25 | SITES FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | contributed_to | $66 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | contributed_to | $66 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-26 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | AMERICA WORKS FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-25 | SITES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SWARTZ FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |