MAJEWSKI, J R

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2OH09155
Internal id: 6857df2b-adc8-4412-a68f-80ff2285ed93
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-09. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	781,702
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$66,739
Income	Per-capita income	$39,128
Income	In poverty	14.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.470
Race	White alone	76.5%
Race	Black alone	11.9%
Race	Asian alone	1.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.7%
Race	Two or more races	7.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.5%
Education	High school or higher	60.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.8%
Education	Advanced degree	10.4%
Household	Family households	60.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.30
Household	Never married (15+)	34.2%
Housing	Median home value	$174,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$920
Housing	Single-family detached	71.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.3%
Health	With a disability	15.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.9%
Commute	Drove alone	80.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	7.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$2,820	$8,946	$0	$0	$551
2022	$1,185,047	$1,178,922	$6,126	$10,000	$593,589

Elections

2022 general house · OH-9 — lost_general

Committees

J.R. MAJEWSKI FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$409,185	$1,697,758	56

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$126,225	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$126,255	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$112,200	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$70,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$29,167	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$1,596	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$29,166	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$112,200	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$13,183	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$70,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$126,225	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$7,500	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$22,739	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,500	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$126,225	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$7,500	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$9,595	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,083	Media Production - Estimate
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$1,000	Creative for digital ad
—	HMP	oppose	$9,565	Media Production - Estimate
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$30,000	Digital ad buy
—	HMP	oppose	$268,150	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$750	Creation of micro-site
—	HMP	oppose	$210,375	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$29,167	Digital Advertising - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	HMP	24A	$1,596
—	HMP	24A	$29,167
—	HMP	24A	$126,225
—	HMP	24A	$7,500
2022-12-30	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-30	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-30	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-22	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-11-11	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	24E	$2
2022-11-07	HMP	24A	$9,565
2022-11-07	DEPENDABLE CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$900
2022-11-05	WINRED	24K	$-900
2022-11-04	DEPENDABLE CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$1,450
2022-11-04	USA FREEDOM FUND	24E	$5,790
2022-11-03	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-02	CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	AMERICAN PRINCIPLES	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	WORKING FOR OHIO	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	contributed_to	$29,167	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$126,225	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$1,596	pas2
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$10,042	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$1,731	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,565	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$70,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$126,225	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$22,739	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$126,255	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$112,200	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$112,200	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$268,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$210,375	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$13,183	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$29,167	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,595	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$70,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$126,225	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$29,167	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$29,166	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$1,596	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$70,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$126,225	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,083	fec_ies
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$750	fec_ies
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-11	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2022-11-07	HMP	contributed_to	$9,565	pas2
2022-11-07	DEPENDABLE CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-11-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-900	pas2
2022-11-04	USA FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$5,790	fec_ies
2022-11-04	USA FREEDOM FUND	contributed_to	$5,790	pas2
2022-11-04	DEPENDABLE CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$1,450	pas2
2022-11-03	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-02	CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	WORKING FOR OHIO	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-02	COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN PRINCIPLES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	THE AMERICAN TRANSFORMATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$13,183	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$268,150	pas2
2022-11-01	OLD BREED PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	YES TO YESLI PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-31	HMP	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-10-31	FIRST CAPITAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-30	USA FREEDOM FUND	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-10-30	USA FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
2022-10-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-10-28	HMP	contributed_to	$70,000	pas2
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-10-27	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENTIVE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	DCCC	opposes_independently	$13,622	fec_ies
2022-10-27	DCCC	contributed_to	$13,622	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-25	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$3,500	fec_ies
2022-10-25	HMP	contributed_to	$210,375	pas2
2022-10-25	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2022-10-24	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-22	GUARDIAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$722	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	DCCC	contributed_to	$11,582	pas2
2022-10-20	HMP	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-10-20	HMP	contributed_to	$1,596	pas2
2022-10-20	HMP	contributed_to	$70,000	pas2
2022-10-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-10-20	DCCC	opposes_independently	$11,582	fec_ies
2022-10-18	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$36,654	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$126,225	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$70,000	pas2
2022-10-18	DCCC	contributed_to	$6,000	pas2
2022-10-18	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$30,936	pas2
2022-10-18	DCCC	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
2022-10-18	DCCC	opposes_independently	$5,000	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	J.R. MAJEWSKI FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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