GAVARONE, THERESA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH09171- Internal id
33604b31-2a11-4d21-9e82-8e074b0eb114- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,702 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $66,739 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,128 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 76.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 60.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $174,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $920 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $875 | $1,712 | $50,000 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $1,375 | $2,587 | $50,000 | $0 |
| 2022 | $293,282 | $289,320 | $3,962 | $50,000 | $214,132 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· OH-9 β lost_general
Committees
- THERESA GAVARONE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $434,733 | 11 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $4,422 | TV Advertising |
| 2022-04-28 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $25,000 | Federal IE - Television |
| 2022-04-25 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $16,964 | Radio Advertising |
| 2022-04-22 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $33,334 | TV Advertising |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $12,376 | Radio Advertising |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $16,667 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $26,066 | Federal IE - Direct Mail |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $26,566 | Federal IE - Direct Mail |
| 2022-04-15 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $26,566 | Federal IE - Direct Mail |
| 2022-04-11 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $218,375 | Federal IE - Television |
| 2022-04-08 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | oppose | $28,398 | Federal IE - Direct Mail |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (35)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-14 | FRIENDS OF PORK, OHIO PORK PRODUCERS PAC | contributed_to | $350 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | opposes_independently | $4,422 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | contributed_to | $4,421 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | contributed_to | $98,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | STIVERS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-25 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | opposes_independently | $16,964 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-25 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | contributed_to | $16,964 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | opposes_independently | $33,334 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | contributed_to | $33,334 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WOMACK FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | opposes_independently | $16,667 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $26,066 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $26,566 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | contributed_to | $16,666 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | contributed_to | $12,376 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WINNING FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | SUSAN B. ANTHONY LIST. INC. CANDIDATE FUND (DBA SUSAN B. ANTHONY PRO-LIFE AMERICA CANDIDATE FUND) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $26,565 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $26,065 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WOMACK FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | opposes_independently | $12,376 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | contributed_to | $100,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $26,566 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-15 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $26,565 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $218,375 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $218,375 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-08 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | opposes_independently | $28,398 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-08 | NORTHWEST OHIO FREEDOM FUND PAC | contributed_to | $28,398 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-07 | BUCKEYE PATRIOT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | FIGHT ON PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-17 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | LEADERSHIP FOR AMERICA TODAY TOMORROW AND ALWAYS PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THERESA GAVARONE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |