TURNER, NINA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH11151- Internal id
5f186321-b92d-4d81-9e5b-b66d993d2316- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 773,464 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $53,094 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,066 |
| Income | In poverty | 21.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.525 |
| Race | White alone | 42.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 43.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 48.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.13 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $151,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,024 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 52.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 10.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $7,046,293 | $7,530,070 | $0 | $0 | $6,708,714 |
| 2020 | $646,745 | $162,968 | $483,777 | $0 | $643,867 |
| 2012 | $27,700 | $27,700 | $0 | $0 | $25,700 |
Elections
- 2012 general house Β· OH-11 β lost_general
- 2021 general house Β· OH-11 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· OH-11 β lost_general
Committees
- NINA TURNER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- NINA TURNER FOR US β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $817,107 | $2,398,259 | 126 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $2,667 | Digital Communications - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $7,438 | Phone Banking - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $13,000 | Digital Advertising Buy - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $5,333 | Digital Communications - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $6,750 | Digital Advertising Buy - Estimated Cost |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | support | $2,088 | Voter ID Calls and GOTV |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $2,615 | List Acquisition - Estimated Cost |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | support | $11,246 | Voter ID Calls and GOTV |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | support | $11,246 | Voter ID Calls and GOTV |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $250 | Newspaper Advertising Production - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $1,307 | List Acquisition - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $18,303 | Phone Banking - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $6,250 | Media Consulting for Newspaper Ad - Estimated Cost |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $6,750 | Digital Advertising Buy - Estimated Cost |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | support | $10,500 | Facebook Internet Advertising - BringaFriend |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | support | $10,500 | Facebook Internet Advertising - Double |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | support | $500 | Voice Acting - Double |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | support | $10,500 | Facebook Internet Advertising - Community |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | support | $10,500 | Facebook Internet Advertising - Nope |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $20,000 | Facebook Internet Advertising - CtG |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $21,327 | TV advertising - CtG |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $2,100 | Video Production - CtG |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $2,250 | Video Production - Nope |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $547 | Project Coordination - Nope |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | support | $500 | Voice Acting - Nope |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | DMFI PAC | 24A | $50,944 |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | 24A | $49,459 |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | 24A | $6,065 |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | 24A | $68,953 |
| β | DMFI PAC | 24A | $56,908 |
| β | DMFI PAC | 24A | $6,500 |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | 24E | $11,245 |
| β | DMFI PAC | 24A | $51,044 |
| 2022-05-21 | NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL CO⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-05-03 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | 24Z | $1,196 |
| 2022-05-03 | COURAGE TO CHANGE | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $10,500 |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $10,500 |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $500 |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $10,500 |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $10,500 |
| 2022-04-29 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | 24Z | $322 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $656 |
| 2022-04-28 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | 24Z | $648 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $1,093 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $30,000 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $2,250 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $1,500 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $2,100 |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | 24E | $546 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | contributed_to | $11,245 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $49,459 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $68,953 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $6,065 | pas2 | |
| β | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $51,044 | pas2 | |
| β | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $6,500 | pas2 | |
| β | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $56,908 | pas2 | |
| β | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $50,944 | pas2 | |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | supports_independently | $11,246 | fec_ies | |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | supports_independently | $2,088 | fec_ies | |
| β | OHIO WOMEN RISING | supports_independently | $11,246 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $6,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $1,307 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $18,303 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $6,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $7,438 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $6,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $2,667 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $13,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $2,615 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $250 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $5,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-21 | NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-03 | COURAGE TO CHANGE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-03 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $1,196 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $10,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $10,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $10,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $10,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $10,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $10,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $10,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $10,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-02 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $322 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $2,100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $7,365 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $2,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $21,326 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $1,094 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $30,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $1,093 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $2,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $546 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $21,327 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $7,365 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $2,100 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $656 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $547 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $21,326 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | DEMOCRACY FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $648 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | JANE FONDA CLIMATE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $20,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $656 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $21,327 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $1,263 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $1,262 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $15,959 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $15,960 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $55 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $54 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $44 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $45 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $54 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $74,400 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $125 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $125 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $328 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $3,333 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $3,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $3,333 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $3,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $3,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $3,333 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $328 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $125 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $55 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $1,263 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $1,262 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-19 | JUSTICE FOR ALL OF US ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $14,999 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | RETAIL, WHOLESALE & DEPARTMENT STORE UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION (RWDSU COPE) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | OUR REVOLUTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | OUR REVOLUTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $252,880 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-14 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $40,163 | fec_ies |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | NINA TURNER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | NINA TURNER FOR US | β | candidate_committees |