KUNZE, STEPHANIE L.
R ยท house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH15152- Internal id
8b31acf3-7905-43a5-afaa-1d60e0219676- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here โ American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 794,565 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,358 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,090 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 73.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,272 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $104,824 | $104,824 | $0 | $0 | $82,098 |
Elections
- 2021 general house ยท OH-15 โ running
Committees
- TEAM STEPHANIE KUNZE โ principal ยท type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 ยท model baseline-v1 ยท base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | ฮ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency ร party ร office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $64,663 | 11 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $143 | digital ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2021-07-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $3,881 | digital ad production |
| 2021-07-19 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $166 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2021-07-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $7,004 | mail production, postage |
| 2021-07-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $166 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2021-07-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $17,635 | mail production, postage |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $17,635 | mail production, postage |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $166 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2021-07-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $166 | mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $17,635 | mail production, postage |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $67 | data analytics |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-01 | GRANGE MUTUAL HOLDING CO. POLITICAL ACTION COMMโฆ | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-07-29 | MAGGIE'S LIST | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-07-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $142 |
| 2021-07-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $3,881 |
| 2021-07-19 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $166 |
| 2021-07-19 | POLITICAL EDUCATION PATTERNS POLITICAL ARM INTLโฆ | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-07-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $7,004 |
| 2021-07-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $166 |
| 2021-07-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $17,634 |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $166 |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $17,634 |
| 2021-07-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $166 |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $17,634 |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $66 |
| 2021-06-28 | RENAISSANCE HEALTH SERVICE CORPORATION POLITICAโฆ | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-06-10 | RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-06-09 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITโฆ | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-06-03 | KEGLER BROWN HILL + RITTER, LPA FEDERAL PAC | 24K | $250 |
| 2021-05-20 | CALFEE FUND FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT | 24K | $500 |
| 2021-05-17 | G-TOWN PAC | 24K | $1,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (31)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-01 | GRANGE MUTUAL HOLDING CO. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-29 | MAGGIE'S LIST | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $143 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $142 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $3,881 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $3,881 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-19 | POLITICAL EDUCATION PATTERNS POLITICAL ARM INTL UNION OPERATING ENG LOCAL 18 | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-19 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $166 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-19 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $166 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $7,004 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $7,004 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $166 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $166 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $17,635 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $17,634 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $166 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $17,634 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $166 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $17,635 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $166 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-08 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $166 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $17,635 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $67 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $66 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-07 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $17,634 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-28 | RENAISSANCE HEALTH SERVICE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-10 | RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-09 | VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-03 | KEGLER BROWN HILL + RITTER, LPA FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-20 | CALFEE FUND FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-17 | G-TOWN PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| โ | principal_candidate_of | TEAM STEPHANIE KUNZE | โ | candidate_committees |