COYNE, THOMAS J JR
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH19105- Internal id
f458aee0-7901-46d9-ab30-b58876d278a9- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $16,008 | $0 |
| 2002 | $4,500 | $4,500 | $0 | $16,008 | $4,500 |
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $20,508 | $0 |
| 1998 | $21 | $21 | $0 | $67,889 | $21 |
| 1996 | $568,259 | $568,335 | $0 | $66,723 | $374,395 |
| 1994 | $174,550 | $174,228 | $328 | $52,312 | $158,012 |
| 1992 | $134,168 | $134,158 | $8 | $18,563 | $111,042 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· OH-19 β lost_general
- 1994 general house Β· OH-10 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· OH-19 β lost_general
Committees
- '96 COYNE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- COYNE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- TOM COYNE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COYNE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | '96 COYNE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | TOM COYNE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |