HARRIS-TILL, JOSHUA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2OK05169
Internal id: 6330efd0-53a9-431a-9cf3-3cd5a1307d42
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OK-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	812,252
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$74,730
Income	Per-capita income	$42,186
Income	In poverty	12.5%
Income	Unemployed	4.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.476
Race	White alone	66.1%
Race	Black alone	11.1%
Race	Asian alone	3.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.7%
Race	Two or more races	12.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.4%
Education	High school or higher	62.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	38.2%
Education	Advanced degree	13.8%
Household	Family households	64.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	30.6%
Housing	Median home value	$245,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,140
Housing	Single-family detached	71.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.1%
Housing	Vacant units	8.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.1%
Health	With a disability	15.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.9%
Commute	Drove alone	77.6%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	11.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$72,529	$59,997	$12,531	$0	$72,529

Elections

2022 general house · OK-5 — lost_general

Committees

JHT FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOW…	24E	$86
2022-10-27	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-14	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$4,000
2022-10-04	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND, INC. PAC …	24K	$1,000
2022-08-18	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL…	24K	$500
2022-08-10	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$1,000
2022-05-31	OK INTEGRITY PAC	24K	$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (7)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND)	contributed_to	$86	pas2
2022-10-27	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-14	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-10-04	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND, INC. PAC (EVERYTOWN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-18	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-08-10	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-31	OK INTEGRITY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JHT FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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