SMITH, ROBERT F
R Β· house Β· bioguide S000607
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- FEC candidate id
H2OR02016- Internal id
cb130a3a-3b3b-486e-b0fc-f886e0f1a7cb- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 708,237 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,259 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,495 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.460 |
| Race | White alone | 79.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.9% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $366,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,134 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $159,127 | $385,135 | $0 | $0 | $8,250 |
| 1996 | $438,403 | $212,394 | $226,008 | $0 | $140,781 |
| 1994 | $121,201 | $131,116 | $230,832 | $0 | $64,145 |
| 1992 | $462,680 | $401,670 | $240,746 | $0 | $273,337 |
| 1990 | $374,114 | $284,700 | $179,736 | $0 | $199,813 |
| 1988 | $381,363 | $340,643 | $90,322 | $0 | $204,319 |
| 1986 | $333,973 | $323,210 | $49,601 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $454,125 | $417,443 | $38,836 | $0 | $238,491 |
| 1982 | $397,229 | $402,208 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1982 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1984 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1986 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1988 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1990 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1992 general house Β· OR-2 β won
- 1998 general house Β· OR-2 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (11)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | held_position | delegate | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Willamette University | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1965-01-01 | held_position | representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1960-01-01 | held_position | member of the Oregon House of Representatives | β | wikidata |