SMITH, LORETTA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2OR06017
Internal id: fce8f5a4-7266-44a7-8ee4-2234ec52c1fa
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	713,801
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$87,618
Income	Per-capita income	$43,665
Income	In poverty	11.1%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.443
Race	White alone	70.3%
Race	Black alone	1.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	21.9%
Race	Two or more races	14.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	79.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	14.8%
Education	High school or higher	57.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.1%
Education	Advanced degree	12.4%
Household	Family households	65.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.57
Household	Never married (15+)	32.4%
Housing	Median home value	$475,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,569
Housing	Single-family detached	60.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.8%
Housing	Vacant units	4.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.0%
Health	With a disability	14.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	67.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.3%
Commute	Worked from home	17.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$690	$55,000	$0
2024	$40	$11	$690	$55,000	$15
2022	$360,500	$359,840	$660	$55,000	$251,582

Elections

2022 general house · OR-6 — lost_general

Committees

LORETTA SMITH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-14	HOOPS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-05-16	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-05-16	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-05-12	OLD NORTH STATE VICTORY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-05-02	THE COLLECTIVE PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-03-31	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,000
2021-12-30	A NEW DAY PAC	24K	$500
2021-07-07	DAN FOR COLORADO	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (8)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-14	HOOPS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-16	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-16	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-05-12	OLD NORTH STATE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-02	THE COLLECTIVE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-31	HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-30	A NEW DAY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-07-07	DAN FOR COLORADO	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LORETTA SMITH FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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