ERICKSON, MIKE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2OR06124
Internal id: 87bf0f54-d79a-497e-8301-c68d39c7e39d
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	713,801
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$87,618
Income	Per-capita income	$43,665
Income	In poverty	11.1%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.443
Race	White alone	70.3%
Race	Black alone	1.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	21.9%
Race	Two or more races	14.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	79.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	14.8%
Education	High school or higher	57.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.1%
Education	Advanced degree	12.4%
Household	Family households	65.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.57
Household	Never married (15+)	32.4%
Housing	Median home value	$475,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,569
Housing	Single-family detached	60.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.8%
Housing	Vacant units	4.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.0%
Health	With a disability	14.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	67.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.3%
Commute	Worked from home	17.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$52,152	$52,210	$12	$3,584,912	$340
2024	$1,190,897	$1,194,367	$70	$3,323,100	$531,925
2022	$3,957,227	$3,953,687	$3,540	$2,767,350	$886,489

Elections

2022 general house · OR-6 — lost_general
2024 general house · OR-6 — lost_general

Committees

ERICKSON FOR OR-06 — principal · type H
MIKE ERICKSON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$0	$509,236	1
2022	$8,299	$4,913,032	29

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$43,340	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$949,722	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$43,331	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$14,967	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$30,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$612,035	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$43,340	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$11,951	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$7,278	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$515,185	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$3,500	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$31,401	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,417	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$350,625	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$39,251	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$357,638	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$14,150	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$14,866	Media Production - Estimate
2024-10-09	CHC BOLD PAC	oppose	$509,236	TV & Digital Ad Production and Buy - Estimate
2022-10-25	CHC BOLD PAC	oppose	$7,184	Television Ad Production - Estimate
2022-10-24	CHC BOLD PAC	oppose	$390,000	Television Ad Buy - Estimate
2022-10-13	DCCC	oppose	$429,582	Media Buy
2022-10-13	DCCC	oppose	$57,500	Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-10-06	DCCC	oppose	$429,582	Media Buy
2022-10-06	DCCC	oppose	$57,500	Digital Media Buy Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-09	WINRED	24K	$-750
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$7,019
2022-11-07	MAJORITY IN ACTION	24K	$1,969
2022-11-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-28	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-27	MEUSER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,500
2022-10-27	CHC BOLD PAC	24A	$37,923
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-25	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS …	24K	$2,500
2022-10-25	CHC BOLD PAC	24A	$7,184
2022-10-24	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-10-24	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-24	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-24	CHC BOLD PAC	24A	$390,000
2022-10-21	REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL …	24N	$4,439
2022-10-20	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$2,923
2022-10-20	DRUMMOND COMPANY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-10-20	ELISE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-10-20	AMERICAN STAFFING ASSOCIATION STAFFING PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-10-19	CLIFF BENTZ FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$43,340	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$515,185	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$949,722	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$43,331	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,967	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$612,035	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$43,340	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,951	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$3,500	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$31,401	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,417	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$350,625	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$39,251	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$357,638	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,866	fec_ies
2024-10-09	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$509,236	fec_ies
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-750	pas2
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$7,019	pas2
2022-11-07	MAJORITY IN ACTION	contributed_to	$1,969	pas2
2022-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-27	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$37,923	pas2
2022-10-27	MEUSER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-25	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$7,184	pas2
2022-10-25	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-25	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$7,184	fec_ies
2022-10-24	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$390,000	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$390,000	fec_ies
2022-10-24	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-21	REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$4,439	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,923	pas2
2022-10-20	AMERICAN STAFFING ASSOCIATION STAFFING PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	ELISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-20	DRUMMOND COMPANY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	HMP	contributed_to	$14,865	pas2
2022-10-19	HMP	contributed_to	$515,185	pas2
2022-10-19	CONCERNED AMERICANS FOR FREEDOM & OPPORTUNITY PAC (CAFO PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	CLIFF BENTZ FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-19	CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$43,340	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$14,150	pas2
2022-10-18	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-14	TEXAS REPUBLICANS UNITED POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TRU PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-14	LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-13	DCCC	opposes_independently	$429,582	fec_ies
2022-10-13	OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$2,204	pas2
2022-10-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-13	DCCC	opposes_independently	$57,500	fec_ies
2022-10-13	DCCC	contributed_to	$57,500	pas2
2022-10-13	DCCC	contributed_to	$429,582	pas2
2022-10-13	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-12	POINT PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-12	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,923	pas2
2022-10-12	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-08	RAZOR PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-07	ASSOCIATED OREGON LOGGERS INC FEDERAL PAC (AOL FED PAC)	contributed_to	$800	pas2
2022-10-06	DCCC	opposes_independently	$57,500	fec_ies
2022-10-06	VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICANS NOW PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-06	DCCC	opposes_independently	$429,582	fec_ies
2022-10-06	DCCC	contributed_to	$429,582	pas2
2022-10-06	DCCC	contributed_to	$57,500	pas2
2022-10-04	DCCC	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
2022-10-04	DCCC	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-10-04	DCCC	contributed_to	$6,000	pas2
2022-10-04	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-03	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$526	pas2
2022-10-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-09-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-09-30	OLD BREED PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-29	DCCC	contributed_to	$368,186	pas2
2022-09-29	DCCC	opposes_independently	$368,186	fec_ies
2022-09-29	DCCC	opposes_independently	$57,500	fec_ies
2022-09-29	DCCC	contributed_to	$57,500	pas2
2022-09-28	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-27	OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$1,688	pas2
2022-09-27	OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$277	pas2
2022-09-26	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	HAGEMAN FOR WYOMING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-21	OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$130	pas2
2022-09-21	REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (RJC-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-15	NRCC	contributed_to	$103,000	pas2
2022-09-14	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ERICKSON FOR OR-06	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MIKE ERICKSON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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