DANIELS, SHAMAINE MS
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2PA10124- Internal id
e3bc395a-f877-4d8f-89dd-7ed8215f2c50- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 779,640 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,964 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,355 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 72.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $249,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,217 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $985 | $821 | $1,107 | $91,264 | $785 |
| 2024 | $81,033 | $81,688 | $943 | $91,764 | $74,557 |
| 2022 | $414,295 | $412,696 | $1,598 | $4,729 | $375,355 |
Elections
Committees
- DANIELS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $325 | $0 | 3 |
| 2022 | $19,657 | $230,628 | 52 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $1,288 | Canvassing Service-Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $6 | Content Creation |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $9 | Graphic Design |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $16 | Printing for Events |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $19 | Digital Ads |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $38 | Content Creation |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $76 | Digital Ads |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $77 | Canvassing Service-Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $101 | Staff Time Canvassing Management-Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $71 | Staff Time - Canvassing Management - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $122 | Staff Time - Canvassing Management - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $132 | Content Creation - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $254 | Door Literature -Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $149 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $467 | Direct Mail |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $1,288 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $149 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $1,288 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $101 | Staff Time - Canvassing Management - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $101 | Staff Time - Canvassing Management - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $175 | Staff Time - Canvassing Management - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $233 | Digital Advertising - Estimate (10/2 - 10/12) |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $1,288 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $115 | Digital Ads |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | support | $2,276 | Canvassing Service - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $148 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $101 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $76 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,303 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $101 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $174 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,050 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $174 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $233 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,016 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $370 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $148 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $2,276 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,288 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $57 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $16 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,975 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $174 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,170 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $101 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $96 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $140 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $21 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $468 |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | 24E | $1,288 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $150 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,975 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,276 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,288 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $148 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $233 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,050 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $174 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $174 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,276 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $227 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,288 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $148 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,288 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $76 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,303 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $370 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,170 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,016 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $21 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $140 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $468 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $57 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $96 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $174 | pas2 | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $122 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $71 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $132 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,975 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $2,276 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,288 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $6 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $9 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $19 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $38 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $76 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $77 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $101 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $71 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $122 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $132 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $254 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $149 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $467 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,288 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $149 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,288 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $101 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $101 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $175 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $233 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,288 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $115 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $149 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $149 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $172 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $175 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $289 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,050 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | supports_independently | $1,288 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-15 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,288 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,276 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,975 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $148 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-21 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,050 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,288 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $148 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $2,276 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $227 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $70 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $122 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $132 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,303 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | PENNSYLVANIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY | contributed_to | $4,750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $254 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | KEYSTONE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | LATINO VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-23 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $467 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | TED LIEU FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | UFCW LOCAL 1776KS | contributed_to | $136 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC | contributed_to | $205 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $288 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $171 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $114 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | SECOND GENERATION | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $18 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,715 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $676 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $914 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-11 | CASA IN ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $76 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DANIELS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |