IRWIN, STEVEN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2PA18218
Internal id: dc0d6b06-16d1-4b00-a32c-a8ff26ad0e2c
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-12. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	760,856
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$71,986
Income	Per-capita income	$45,179
Income	In poverty	14.0%
Income	Unemployed	5.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.483
Race	White alone	73.7%
Race	Black alone	15.0%
Race	Asian alone	4.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.1%
Race	Two or more races	5.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.0%
Education	High school or higher	69.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	41.9%
Education	Advanced degree	17.9%
Household	Family households	53.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.17
Household	Never married (15+)	41.1%
Housing	Median home value	$205,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,143
Housing	Single-family detached	60.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	9.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.1%
Housing	Vacant units	11.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.8%
Health	With a disability	14.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.0%
Commute	Drove alone	59.9%
Commute	Public transit	6.8%
Commute	Worked from home	20.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$1,597	$0	$0	$0
2022	$1,677,031	$1,675,433	$1,597	$0	$1,552,929

Elections

2022 general house · PA-12 — lost_general

Committees

STEVE IRWIN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$458,115	$2,400	8

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	DMFI PAC	support	$15,000	T.V. Advertising Production (Estimate)
2022-05-17	DMFI PAC	support	$1,773	T.V. Advertising Production
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	support	$50,000	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	support	$2,889	Text Messages
2022-05-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	oppose	$2,400	Phone Calls
2022-05-12	DMFI PAC	support	$3,142	Text Messaging
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	support	$94,853	Digital Advertising Buy
2022-04-28	DMFI PAC	support	$290,458	T.V. Advertising Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	DMFI PAC	24E	$14,877
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$6,944
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$3,000
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$20,625
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$1,290
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$8,795
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$10,954
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$55,800
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$189,346
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$210,275
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$93,000
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$50,000
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24E	$10,287
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$20
2022-05-17	AMERICANS UNITED IN SUPPORT OF DEMOCRACY	24Z	$1,500
2022-05-17	DMFI PAC	24E	$1,773
2022-05-16	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-05-16	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, …	24K	$5,000
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	24E	$2,888
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	24E	$50,000
2022-05-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24A	$1,520
2022-05-13	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NAT…	24K	$2,500
2022-05-12	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	24K	$500
2022-05-12	DMFI PAC	24E	$3,141
2022-05-11	TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC	24K	$2,600

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$210,275	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$189,346	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$10,954	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$6,944	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$55,800	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$10,287	pas2
—	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$14,877	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$8,795	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$1,290	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$93,000	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$20,625	pas2
—	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-05-17	AMERICANS UNITED IN SUPPORT OF DEMOCRACY	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-05-17	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$1,773	pas2
2022-05-17	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$1,773	fec_ies
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-05-16	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-16	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$2,888	pas2
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2022-05-16	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$2,889	fec_ies
2022-05-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	opposes_independently	$2,400	fec_ies
2022-05-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$1,520	pas2
2022-05-13	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-12	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-05-12	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$3,142	fec_ies
2022-05-12	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$3,141	pas2
2022-05-11	TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC	contributed_to	$2,600	pas2
2022-05-10	SUN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-09	PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-06	TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-06	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-03	AMERICA NEEDS NEW INNOVATION AND ENERGY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-03	ATI INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ATI-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-03	LEADERS IN LIFE ACTING COOPERATIVELY (LILAC) PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$94,853	pas2
2022-05-02	MARC VEASEY CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-02	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$94,853	fec_ies
2022-05-02	OLD NORTH STATE VICTORY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-04-29	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-28	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$290,458	fec_ies
2022-04-28	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$290,458	pas2
2022-04-27	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-27	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-27	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$27	pas2
2022-04-27	HEARTLAND FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-26	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-25	AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC.	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-25	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-22	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-22	JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-04-21	SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-21	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-21	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-20	BUILD AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-20	MASS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-20	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$27	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$22	pas2
2022-04-19	AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-18	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-04-15	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-14	HIGHMARK PAC OF HIGHMARK INC.	contributed_to	$4,500	pas2
2022-04-13	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-04-13	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-13	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$36	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$36	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-12	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	STEVE IRWIN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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