ADAMS, MIKE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2PA20057
Internal id: b0293e47-9850-4d7b-aba1-db63652bac9d
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
1996	$2,500	$12,500	$0	$2,169	$0
1994	$116,071	$114,353	$2,055	$21,361	$61,595
1992	$118,236	$97,934	$150	$62,957	$33,286

Elections

1992 general house · PA-18 — running
1994 general house · PA-18 — lost_general

Committees

MIKE ADAMS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MIKE ADAMS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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