ALOMAR, RAFAEL COX
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2PR00065- Internal id
4230a3df-d059-4161-ae57-c645c49063b3- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $21,540 | $21,906 | $431 | $21,200 | $6,000 |
| 2014 | $28,148 | $32,396 | $797 | $110,780 | $28,148 |
| 2012 | $777,394 | $772,349 | $5,044 | $131,211 | $770,138 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- COX ALOMAR 2012 INC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COX ALOMAR 2012 INC | β | candidate_committees |