WATERS, ALLEN

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2RI01202
Internal id: b5d82853-dc07-4c87-91e4-d6551b057d8a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), RI-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	546,488
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$82,508
Income	Per-capita income	$46,263
Income	In poverty	12.1%
Income	Unemployed	5.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.475
Race	White alone	65.5%
Race	Black alone	6.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	19.9%
Race	Two or more races	14.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	18.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	72.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	15.5%
Education	High school or higher	64.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	38.1%
Education	Advanced degree	15.8%
Household	Family households	60.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.37
Household	Never married (15+)	38.9%
Housing	Median home value	$417,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,325
Housing	Single-family detached	47.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.5%
Housing	Vacant units	7.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.9%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.0%
Commute	Drove alone	70.4%
Commute	Public transit	2.2%
Commute	Worked from home	13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$345	$1,544	$0	$0
2024	$21,583	$19,991	$1,889	$1	$20,911
2022	$45,442	$46,963	$4,062	$7,515	$45,442

Elections

2022 general house · RI-1 — lost_general
2024 general house · RI-1 — lost_general

Committees

FRIENDS OF ALLEN WATERS — principal · type S
THE WATERS COMMITTEE — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-20	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$100
2022-10-18	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	24K	$750
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$293
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$177
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$184
2022-10-13	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$60
2022-09-09	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	24K	$100
2022-03-14	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	24K	$250
2022-02-17	UNITED FOR LIBERTY PAC	24K	$500
2022-02-11	WINRED	24K	$-50
2021-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-50
2021-08-23	WINRED	24K	$-15
2021-08-13	WINRED	24K	$-20
2021-05-26	WINRED	24K	$5
2021-05-25	BLACK CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT	24K	$250
2021-04-28	WINRED	24K	$20

Connected on the graph

Inbound (16)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-20	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-10-18	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$177	pas2
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$184	pas2
2022-10-15	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$293	pas2
2022-10-13	RI RIGHT TO LIFE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$60	pas2
2022-09-09	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-03-14	FIGHTING FOR NEW ENGLAND PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-02-17	UNITED FOR LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-02-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2021-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2021-08-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2021-08-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2021-05-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2021-05-25	BLACK CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2021-04-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$20	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF ALLEN WATERS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	THE WATERS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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