MORGENTHAU, SARAH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2RI02242- Internal id
c6a63189-427d-49e3-9e96-5ca5ca014ab3- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), RI-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 555,313 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,597 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,023 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 75.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.0% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $395,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,365 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $7,521 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $992,300 | $984,780 | $7,521 | $200,000 | $756,781 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· RI-2 β lost_general
Committees
- SARAH MORGENTHAU FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-12 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-08 | U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-07-26 | AMERICAN SOCIETY OF TRAVEL ADVISORS, INC. PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-06-30 | DLA PIPER LLP (US) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (β¦ | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-30 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-06-27 | U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-06-20 | BACKPAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-17 | MOMS FED UP | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-15 | PURPOSE PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-05-12 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-22 | SCHIFF FOR SENATE | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-10 | OFF THE SIDELINES PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-04 | JACKSON LEWIS P.C. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-12 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-26 | AMERICAN SOCIETY OF TRAVEL ADVISORS, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | DLA PIPER LLP (US) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DLA PIPER PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-27 | U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-20 | BACKPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-17 | MOMS FED UP | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | PURPOSE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-22 | SCHIFF FOR SENATE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-10 | OFF THE SIDELINES PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-04 | JACKSON LEWIS P.C. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SARAH MORGENTHAU FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |