BAUER, ANDRE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2SC00020- Internal id
957fdcfa-40be-46c0-b7bd-07beb2e8a0fc- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $161 | $70,314 | $0 |
| 2016 | $1,600 | $3,100 | $161 | $70,314 | $1,600 |
| 2014 | $2,961 | $51,216 | $3,092 | $70,314 | $2,961 |
| 2012 | $1,188,138 | $1,136,791 | $51,347 | $120,500 | $526,838 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- ANDRE BAUER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ANDRE BAUER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |