BUCKNER, DUKE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2SC06142- Internal id
a75e2c4b-ee34-4a3f-b399-3ae068a2c513- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 745,526 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $55,782 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,237 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.500 |
| Race | White alone | 42.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 47.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 55.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.31 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $213,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,202 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $340 | $10,289 | $0 | $21,897 | $340 |
| 2024 | $243,079 | $234,244 | $9,949 | $31,800 | $207,326 |
| 2022 | $205,669 | $204,555 | $1,114 | $6,800 | $173,298 |
Elections
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT DUKE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-15 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-15 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT DUKE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |