ARTHUR, BARBARA MRS.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2SC07231- Internal id
51a598d4-d6d9-4202-a72c-57da787a9e89- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 763,513 |
| People | Median age | 45 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,582 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,084 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.476 |
| Race | White alone | 64.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 25.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $231,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,032 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 22.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $155,624 | $155,624 | $0 | $90,000 | $61,135 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· SC-7 β lost_general
Committees
- BARBARA ARTHUR FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $23,272 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-09 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | support | $23,272 | Radio Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-09 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | 24E | $23,272 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-09 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | supports_independently | $23,272 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-09 | HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK | contributed_to | $23,272 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BARBARA ARTHUR FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |