CASEY, RICHARD D
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2SD00076- Internal id
33315e1e-6c10-4214-a6f7-18c4774be7ea- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $5,422 | $0 | $32,228 | $0 |
| 2002 | $196,280 | $190,235 | $5,422 | $32,228 | $136,794 |
Elections
- 2002 general house Β· SD-1 β running
Committees
- CASEY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CASEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |