HOWARD, TAFFY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2SD01041
Internal id: 240444a6-a382-4b04-839a-90f422b516a2
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$332,056	$332,056	$0	$0	$327,261

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

TAFFY HOWARD FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$257,806	$0	5

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-06-06	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$23,837	Text Messaging & Digital Advertising
2022-06-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$113,640	TV, Radio and Digital Advertising
2022-05-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$32,690	TV Advertising
2022-05-19	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$22,266	Digital Advertising
2022-05-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	support	$65,373	Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-06	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$23,836
2022-06-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$113,639
2022-05-31	DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC.	24A	$189,000
2022-05-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$32,689
2022-05-19	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$22,265
2022-05-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	24E	$65,373
2022-03-07	SAVE AMERICA NOW PAC	24K	$500
2022-01-07	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC	24K	$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (13)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-06	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$23,837	fec_ies
2022-06-06	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$23,836	pas2
2022-06-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$113,639	pas2
2022-06-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$113,640	fec_ies
2022-05-31	DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC.	contributed_to	$189,000	pas2
2022-05-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$32,690	fec_ies
2022-05-27	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$32,689	pas2
2022-05-19	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$22,266	fec_ies
2022-05-19	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$22,265	pas2
2022-05-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	contributed_to	$65,373	pas2
2022-05-01	DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC	supports_independently	$65,373	fec_ies
2022-03-07	SAVE AMERICA NOW PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-01-07	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TAFFY HOWARD FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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