KELLY, JACQUELYN ODESSA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2TN05305
Internal id: df49471d-775a-47fd-86ca-4bea6791e124
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	791,449
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$75,800
Income	Per-capita income	$41,953
Income	In poverty	12.5%
Income	Unemployed	4.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.464
Race	White alone	71.1%
Race	Black alone	15.5%
Race	Asian alone	2.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.2%
Race	Two or more races	8.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.3%
Education	High school or higher	63.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.4%
Education	Advanced degree	12.9%
Household	Family households	62.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.39
Household	Never married (15+)	33.3%
Housing	Median home value	$328,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,406
Housing	Single-family detached	64.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	9.7%
Health	With a disability	14.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.6%
Commute	Drove alone	72.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	15.1%

Elections

2022 general house · TN-7 — lost_general

Committees

REPS MATTER PAC — independent · type N

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$164,491	$0	21

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-11-03	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$24,891	Phone Banking
2022-11-02	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,500	Radio Advertising
2022-10-31	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,167	Canvassing
2022-10-24	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$95,000	Non-Contribution Account - TV/Digital/Radio Buy
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$300	Media Production
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$30,000	Digital Advertising
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$300	Media Production
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$160	Canvassing
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$160	Canvassing
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,250	Canvassing
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,250	Canvassing
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$815	Canvassing
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$815	Canvassing
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,545	Literature
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,250	Canvassing
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,545	Literature
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$1,250	Canvassing
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$347	Canvassing
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$347	Canvassing
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$299	Literature Printing
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	support	$299	Literature Printing

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-14	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	24E	$497
2022-11-08	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$320
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24C	$2,727
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24C	$1,572
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24C	$2,045
2022-11-03	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$24,890
2022-11-02	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	24E	$8,780
2022-11-02	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$1,500
2022-11-01	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	24E	$10,015
2022-10-31	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$1,167
2022-10-24	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$95,000
2022-10-23	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$384
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24C	$2,594
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	24C	$25,071
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$300
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$160
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$1,250
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$815
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$1,545
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$1,250
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$347
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITIO…	24E	$299

Connected on the graph

Inbound (65)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-11-14	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$497	24E	fec_pas2
2022-11-14	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$497		pas2
2022-11-08	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$320	24E	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$320		pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,045	24C	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,572	24C	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$1,572		pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$2,045		pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,727	24C	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$2,727		pas2
2022-11-03	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$24,891		fec_ies
2022-11-03	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$24,890	24E	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$24,890		pas2
2022-11-02	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$8,780		pas2
2022-11-02	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24E	fec_pas2
2022-11-02	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,500		fec_ies
2022-11-02	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8,780	24E	fec_pas2
2022-11-02	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-11-01	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$10,015		pas2
2022-11-01	THE EQUITY ALLIANCE FUND ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$10,015	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,167	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,167		pas2
2022-10-31	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,167		fec_ies
2022-10-24	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$95,000		fec_ies
2022-10-24	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$95,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-24	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$95,000		pas2
2022-10-23	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$384	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-23	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$384		pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$300		pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$300		fec_ies
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$300		fec_ies
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$2,594		pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$300	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	contributed_to	$25,071		pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$30,000		fec_ies
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$25,071	24C	fec_pas2
2022-10-21	TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PARTY	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,594	24C	fec_pas2
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$160		fec_ies
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$160	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$160		pas2
2022-10-20	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$160		fec_ies
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,250		fec_ies
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,250	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,250		pas2
2022-10-19	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,250		fec_ies
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$815	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$815		pas2
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$815		fec_ies
2022-10-15	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$815		fec_ies
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,250		pas2
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,545		pas2
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,545		fec_ies
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,545		fec_ies
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,250		fec_ies
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,250		fec_ies
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,250	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-06	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,545	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$347		fec_ies
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$347		pas2
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$347		fec_ies
2022-09-30	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$347	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$299	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$299		pas2
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$299		fec_ies
2022-09-26	TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$299		fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	independent_committee_of	REPS MATTER PAC	—		candidate_committees

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