BLACKBURN, MARSHA MRS.
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TN06030- Internal id
7a257ee9-1679-4ea1-85f0-6f3d440f3fbe- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 791,449 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,800 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,953 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 71.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $328,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,406 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,753,251 | $2,830,269 | $5,061,597 | $0 | $240,177 |
| 2024 | $13,571,274 | $12,059,747 | $5,138,615 | $0 | $3,874,100 |
| 2022 | $3,200,122 | $1,253,933 | $3,627,087 | $0 | $516,079 |
| 2020 | $1,974,716 | $907,919 | $1,680,898 | $0 | $1,386,678 |
| 2018 | $14,634,620 | $16,572,478 | $614,100 | $0 | $9,763,518 |
| 2016 | $2,239,550 | $1,550,219 | $2,551,958 | $7,402 | $899,737 |
| 2014 | $2,086,901 | $1,444,429 | $1,862,628 | $7,402 | $852,793 |
| 2012 | $1,779,731 | $1,408,633 | $1,220,156 | $7,402 | $646,216 |
| 2010 | $1,563,193 | $1,054,616 | $849,057 | $7,402 | $690,872 |
| 2008 | $1,246,329 | $1,558,279 | $340,480 | $7,402 | $675,652 |
| 2006 | $1,210,654 | $845,718 | $652,430 | $0 | $687,935 |
| 2004 | $853,018 | $669,361 | $287,494 | $0 | $444,735 |
| 2002 | $718,030 | $669,633 | $103,837 | $0 | $494,681 |
| 1994 | $11,148 | $11,221 | $0 | $0 | $5,304 |
| 1992 | $184,657 | $181,515 | $73 | $6,000 | $155,357 |
Elections
- 1992 general house · TN-7 — running
- 1992 general house · TN-6 — lost_general
- 2002 general house · TN-7 — lost_general
- 2004 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2006 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2008 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2010 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2012 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2014 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2016 general house · TN-7 — running
- 2018 general house · TN-7 — lost_general
Committees
- HEALTH FIRST COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
- MARSHA FOR SENATE — principal · type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-14 | DEFEND OUR CONSERVATIVE SENATE PAC (DOC'S PAC) | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-12-08 | MANUFACTURED HOUSING INSTITUTE PAC | 24K | $1,500 |
| 2022-05-16 | AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COM… | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-24 | NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIA… | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-24 | NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIA… | 24K | $4,000 |
| 2021-09-29 | SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2021-06-17 | NATIONAL ACADEMY OF RECORDING ARTS & SCIENCES, … | 24K | $1,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MARSHA FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWAIM, SUSAN | RETIRED · RETIRED | ELEPHANT BUTTE, NM | 1 | $475 |
| HANNA, GEORGE | RETIRED · RETIRED | CHAGRIN FALLS, OH | 1 | $95 |
| BOUZEK, CHERYLL | RETIRED · RETIRED | LINDSAY, CA | 1 | $95 |
| FARROW, CATHERINE C. MS. | RETIRED · RETIRED | COPPERHILL, TN | 1 | $50 |
| NEUMANN, AL | RETIRED · RETIRED | OSAKIS, MN | 1 | $47 |
| TRAISTER, DENISE | RETIRED · RETIRED | SAN ANTONIO, TX | 2 | $38 |
| KING, NANCY | RETIRED · RETIRED | LITTLETON, CO | 1 | $35 |
| CORSON, RICHARD | RETIRED · RETIRED | BATESVILLE, MS | 1 | $35 |
| ISLAM, AMAR | RETIRED · RETIRED | ALEXANDRIA, VA | 1 | $35 |
| NELSON, SCOTT | RETIRED · RETIRED | FRESNO, CA | 1 | $33 |
| BAUM, WAYNE | RETIRED · RETIRED | VARNA, IL | 1 | $33 |
| YOVAN, LYNN | RETIRED · RETIRED | IRVINE, CA | 1 | $33 |
| DOVE, LAURA | WELLPATH · DENTIST | COLLIERVILLE, TN | 1 | $33 |
| TWEDT, BONNIE | RETIRED · RETIRED | LAMPE, MO | 1 | $33 |
| HOGAN, CHARLES | RETIRED · RETIRED | FORSYTH, GA | 1 | $33 |
| RINKER, CATHERINE | RETIRED · RETIRED | VALLEY CENTER, CA | 1 | $33 |
| OWENS, EDWARD | RETIRED · RETIRED | MEMPHIS, TN | 1 | $33 |
| NESVOLD, PAUL | RETIRED · RETIRED | WATERTOWN, MN | 1 | $33 |
| GRAVES, LINDA SUE | REALTY CAPITAL CITY · REAL ESTATE SALES BROKER | GONZALES, TX | 1 | $25 |
| ACTON, BOBBETTE | RETIRED · RETIRED | EL CAJON, CA | 1 | $25 |
| PARK, KAREN | RETIRED · RETIRED | COLORADO SPRINGS, CO | 1 | $25 |
| BRAUN, LORI | AMERICAN FAMILY · INSURANCE | SLEEPY EYE, MN | 1 | $25 |
| GREEN, MIKE | MCA · BDM | CONROE, TX | 1 | $19 |
| FLAIR, CONSTANCE A. | RETIRED · RETIRED | MACON, GA | 1 | $19 |
| WYNNE, PAMELA | RETIRED · RETIRED | BECKLEY, WV | 1 | $15 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-14 | DEFEND OUR CONSERVATIVE SENATE PAC (DOC'S PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-08 | MANUFACTURED HOUSING INSTITUTE PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-16 | AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AT&T EMPLOYEE FEDERAL PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-24 | NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION RURAL BROADBAND PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-24 | NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION RURAL BROADBAND PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-29 | SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-17 | NATIONAL ACADEMY OF RECORDING ARTS & SCIENCES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A.K.A. GRAMMY FUND FOR MUSIC CREATORS) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | HEALTH FIRST COMMITTEE | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | MARSHA FOR SENATE | — | candidate_committees |