JEFFERSON, JRMAR
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX01146- Internal id
1c92eace-3b1b-4aa9-b66a-2000eb2f69ca- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-30. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 779,620 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,761 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,620 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 24.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 40.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 37.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 66.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 29.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.7% |
| Household | Family households | 59.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $263,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,639 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $-10,513 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $-10,513 | $152,071 | $0 |
| 2022 | $128,131 | $93,131 | $35,000 | $151,876 | $53,036 |
Elections
Committees
- JEFFERSON FOR US CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JEFFERSON FOR US CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |