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HULLIHAN, JONATHAN KEITH

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2TX08133
Internal id
11392a92-0fc9-4d28-91db-741c94dbcfb4
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation846,118
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$90,294
IncomePer-capita income$40,596
IncomeIn poverty10.9%
IncomeUnemployed5.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.436
RaceWhite alone51.7%
RaceBlack alone12.5%
RaceAsian alone6.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino32.6%
RaceTwo or more races18.5%
OriginForeign-born19.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home66.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home24.5%
EducationHigh school or higher59.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.7%
EducationAdvanced degree11.4%
HouseholdFamily households77.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.90
HouseholdNever married (15+)28.9%
HousingMedian home value$298,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,587
HousingSingle-family detached74.0%
HousingBuilt before 19400.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.9%
HousingVacant units8.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.8%
HealthWith a disability11.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.5%
CommuteDrove alone71.2%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home14.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$221,662$221,662$0$0$196,212

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$935$01

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-02-02TEXANS FOR TRUE CONSERVATIVESsupport$935Direct mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-03-28WINRED24K$-32
2022-03-25WINRED24K$-200
2022-03-04WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-03-04WINRED24K$-2,100
2022-03-04WINRED24K$-2,100
2022-02-28TEXAS PATRIOTS PAC24E$583
2022-02-25TEXAS PATRIOTS PAC24E$606
2022-02-17TEXAS PATRIOTS PAC24E$28
2022-02-02TEXANS FOR TRUE CONSERVATIVES24E$935
2021-06-07GUY FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000
2021-06-07RVFPAC24K$2,900

Connected on the graph

Inbound (18)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-03-28WINREDcontributed_to$-32pas2
2022-03-25WINREDcontributed_to$-200pas2
2022-03-04WINREDcontributed_to$-2,100pas2
2022-03-04WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-03-04WINREDcontributed_to$-2,100pas2
2022-02-28TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcontributed_to$583pas2
2022-02-28TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$58324Efec_pas2
2022-02-25TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$60624Efec_pas2
2022-02-25TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcontributed_to$606pas2
2022-02-17TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcontributed_to$28pas2
2022-02-17TEXAS PATRIOTS PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2824Efec_pas2
2022-02-02TEXANS FOR TRUE CONSERVATIVESsupports_independently$935fec_ies
2022-02-02TEXANS FOR TRUE CONSERVATIVEScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$93524Efec_pas2
2022-02-02TEXANS FOR TRUE CONSERVATIVEScontributed_to$935pas2
2021-06-07GUY FOR CONGRESScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,00024Kfec_pas2
2021-06-07RVFPACcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2021-06-07GUY FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2021-06-07RVFPACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,90024Kfec_pas2

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofHULLIHAN FOR TEXASβ€”candidate_committees

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