ELLIS, JAMESON
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX08158- Internal id
489b5944-9fd4-4199-837a-16aa0ef5be39- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 814,076 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,648 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,857 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 55.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 32.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 23.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 74.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.89 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $312,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,636 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 73.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6,340 | $6,388 | $0 | $0 | $6,340 |
| 2024 | $38,676 | $39,520 | $48 | $2,250 | $38,582 |
| 2022 | $55,694 | $55,507 | $187 | $0 | $54,126 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· TX-2 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· TX-2 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· TX-2 β running
Committees
- JAMESON ELLIS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMESON ELLIS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |