HAIRE, MARVIN JONATHAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX36142- Internal id
c742bf6e-98bf-4cb5-8ce5-c51d97aeb800- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-36. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 784,320 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,047 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,771 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.460 |
| Race | White alone | 55.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 33.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 18.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 72.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.3% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $236,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,284 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $77,614 | $77,619 | $0 | $30,000 | $27,071 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· TX-36 β lost_general
Committees
- JON HAIRE FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, C/O JOHN T. JAMES, CHAIRMAN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-29 | JON HAIRE FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, C/O β¦ | 24K | $239 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-29 | JON HAIRE FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, C/O JOHN T. JAMES, CHAIRMAN | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $239 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-10-29 | JON HAIRE FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, C/O JOHN T. JAMES, CHAIRMAN | contributed_to | $239 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JON HAIRE FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, C/O JOHN T. JAMES, CHAIRMAN | β | candidate_committees |