MITCHELL, NICHOLAS

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2UT02498
Internal id: 249e0f27-fd5e-47ec-8f41-a9de6e991a3c
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), UT-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	852,435
People	Median age	34
Income	Median household income	$86,300
Income	Per-capita income	$38,787
Income	In poverty	9.7%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.426
Race	White alone	74.4%
Race	Black alone	1.5%
Race	Asian alone	2.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	19.6%
Race	Two or more races	9.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	10.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	80.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	13.7%
Education	High school or higher	58.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	33.7%
Education	Advanced degree	12.1%
Household	Family households	69.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.85
Household	Never married (15+)	32.3%
Housing	Median home value	$456,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,446
Housing	Single-family detached	66.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.6%
Housing	Vacant units	10.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.2%
Health	With a disability	12.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.4%
Commute	Drove alone	68.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$42,825	$25,283	$17,542	$10,000	$30,368

Elections

2022 general house · UT-2 — lost_general

Committees

NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE — principal · type H
NICK MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-28	DARLENE MCDONALD FOR CONGRESS	24K	$710
2022-10-07	WESTERN STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS L…	24K	$750
2022-09-28	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$532
2022-09-28	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$280
2022-09-27	UTAH STATE DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	24K	$967
2022-09-06	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$3,696
2022-09-06	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$263
2022-09-05	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$500
2022-09-01	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$125
2022-08-25	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$534
2022-08-18	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$404
2022-08-14	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$250
2022-08-09	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$200
2022-08-02	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$600
2022-07-31	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	24Z	$3,835

Connected on the graph

Inbound (15)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-28	DARLENE MCDONALD FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$710	pas2
2022-10-07	WESTERN STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT CMTE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS & JOINERS OF AMERICA	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2022-09-28	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$280	pas2
2022-09-28	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$532	pas2
2022-09-27	UTAH STATE DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$967	pas2
2022-09-06	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$263	pas2
2022-09-06	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,696	pas2
2022-09-05	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-01	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$125	pas2
2022-08-25	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$534	pas2
2022-08-18	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$404	pas2
2022-08-14	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-08-09	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2022-08-02	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$600	pas2
2022-07-31	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,835	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	NICK MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	NICHOLAS MITCHELL COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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