THRONEBURG, JOSHUA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2VA05091- Internal id
0c76804c-79bb-413d-9e67-268b71d8294a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 798,638 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,558 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,062 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 69.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 63.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $276,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,114 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,118 | $19,218 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $879,917 | $861,816 | $18,100 | $50,000 | $785,613 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· VA-5 β lost_general
Committees
- JOSH FOR VIRGINIA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-13 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $1 |
| 2022-10-07 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | 24E | $10 |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $11 |
| 2022-09-25 | RURAL GROUNDGAME 3X | 24E | $1,075 |
| 2022-09-12 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $17 |
| 2022-07-21 | WEXTON FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-01 | DOGWOOD PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-13 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $11 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-25 | RURAL GROUNDGAME 3X | contributed_to | $1,075 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-21 | WEXTON FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-01 | DOGWOOD PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSH FOR VIRGINIA | β | candidate_committees |