VEGA, YESLI
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2VA07261- Internal id
65152d98-4698-47ef-bf43-a201658bf737- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 806,870 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $113,817 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,986 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.399 |
| Race | White alone | 52.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 73.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.87 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $438,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,813 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $4,000 | $328,501 | $0 |
| 2024 | $4,398 | $87,796 | $4,000 | $328,501 | $0 |
| 2022 | $3,679,372 | $3,591,974 | $87,398 | $389,150 | $2,587,481 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· VA-7 β lost_general
Committees
- VEGA FOR VA-07 β principal Β· type H
- VEGA FOR VA-07 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 β principal Β· type H
- YESLI VEGA FOR VIRGINIA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,682,719 | $9,063,741 | 273 |
Recent (latest 25)
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC | 24E | $1,312 |
| β | EMPOWERING VIRGINIA PARENTS | 24E | $3,647 |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | 24A | $121 |
| β | VOTEVETS | 24A | $200,000 |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | 24A | $235 |
| β | EMPOWERING VIRGINIA PARENTS | 24E | $14,957 |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | 24A | $22 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-80 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-12-23 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-6 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $121 | pas2 | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $235 | pas2 | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $22 | pas2 | |
| β | EMPOWERING VIRGINIA PARENTS | contributed_to | $14,957 | pas2 | |
| β | EMPOWERING VIRGINIA PARENTS | contributed_to | $3,647 | pas2 | |
| β | KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC | contributed_to | $1,312 | pas2 | |
| β | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $200,000 | pas2 | |
| β | VOTEVETS | opposes_independently | $200,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $22 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $122 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $235 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $60,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | opposes_independently | $4,740 | fec_ies | |
| β | KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC | supports_independently | $1,313 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $6,097 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,498 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,355,888 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $561,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $617,100 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $31,838 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $22,088 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $22,088 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $13,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,038 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,161,263 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $18,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,409 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $15,566 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $5,356 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $27,767 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $125,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $196,788 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $7,233 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $15,660 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $110,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $11,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $4,515 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $6,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,429 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $21,551 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,219 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $2,300 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,295 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $1,218 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $46 | fec_ies | |
| β | END CITIZENS UNITED | opposes_independently | $16,259 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $908,900 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $863 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $19,910 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | EDF ACTION VOTES | opposes_independently | $156,613 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $475 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $1,590 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $475 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $3,338 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $19,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $217 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $475 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $475 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $217 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $6,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | CASA IN ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $5,036 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,700 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,700 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $28,091 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $5,880 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,516 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $19,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,734 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,100 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $250 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $6,461 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $24,466 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $5,710 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $20,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $9,442 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $7,300 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $2,461 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $14,664 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $18,100 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $9,281 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $17,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,700 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION | supports_independently | $3,121 | fec_ies |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VEGA FOR VA-07 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | VEGA FOR VA-07 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | YESLI VEGA FOR VIRGINIA | β | candidate_committees |